Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.121290 0.135152 0.149352 0.164946 0.181551 0.198665 0.217601
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.101885 0.121027 0.141401 0.164567 0.190042 0.217077 0.247812
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.089377 0.112384 0.137704 0.167344 0.200804 0.237138 0.279309
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.078436 0.104152 0.133357 0.168463 0.209018 0.253937 0.306991
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.068685 0.096230 0.128474 0.168208 0.215087 0.267931 0.331308
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.061127 0.090143 0.125088 0.169134 0.222083 0.282694 0.356341
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.053824 0.083647 0.120608 0.168233 0.226520 0.294209 0.377459
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.049449 0.080468 0.119870 0.171595 0.235838 0.311323 0.405063
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.044548 0.076125 0.117283 0.172345 0.241752 0.324250 0.427672
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.040018 0.071868 0.114464 0.172514 0.246729 0.335907 0.448693
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.035560 0.067301 0.110899 0.171435 0.249924 0.345250 0.466845
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.032348 0.064253 0.109152 0.172533 0.255723 0.357688 0.488702
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.030187 0.062728 0.109546 0.176630 0.265637 0.375611 0.517811
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.026941 0.059210 0.106912 0.176486 0.269979 0.386579 0.538450
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.024923 0.057470 0.106694 0.179544 0.278456 0.402741 0.565561
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.022616 0.055020 0.105267 0.180806 0.284495 0.415808 0.588874
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.020170 0.052070 0.102898 0.180595 0.288471 0.426199 0.608848
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.018246 0.049839 0.101468 0.181598 0.293999 0.438546 0.631286
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.016095 0.046936 0.098805 0.180674 0.296812 0.447332 0.649219
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.015043 0.046030 0.099231 0.184205 0.305692 0.463996 0.677178
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.013562 0.044090 0.097863 0.184998 0.310747 0.475659 0.698800
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.012109 0.042023 0.096153 0.185179 0.314886 0.486094 0.718859
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.010585 0.039584 0.093660 0.184053 0.317108 0.493951 0.735598